Champions League · resolved market
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aac65b5de66c1150fcc0ce226a236034486a6aa809dc1acc5404660e5c30436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04a6…59debacked No | 64c | 454.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…d934backed No | 64c | 452.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…81dabacked No | 64c | 451.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…d7f6backed No | 64c | 449.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…f263backed No | 64c | 448.82$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…4bbbbacked No | 64c | 448.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…1015backed No | 64c | 448.03$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…b486backed No | 64c | 446.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…3bd6backed No | 64c | 444.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…6bbcbacked No | 64c | 444.08$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…ca49backed No | 64c | 443.8$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…a9bfbacked No | 67c | 261.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…1e30backed No | 67c | 257.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa055…4487backed No | 67c | 255.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…351cbacked No | 67c | 252.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…09bebacked No | 67c | 249.34$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…ff50backed No | 67c | 247.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1879…df34backed No | 67c | 246.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…3106backed No | 67c | 245.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…ee03backed No | 67c | 243.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…b1cdbacked No | 67c | 241.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…0c95backed Yes | 36c | 236.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…b420backed Yes | 36c | 236.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…ce77backed Yes | 36c | 235.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…00b2backed Yes | 36c | 234.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ec51backed Yes | 36c | 233.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…6cf6backed Yes | 36c | 233.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4c…78afbacked No | 64c | 232.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…e62cbacked Yes | 36c | 231.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…d84cbacked No | 64c | 231.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…df15backed Yes | 36c | 229$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…9977backed Yes | 36c | 228.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…d9ddbacked Yes | 36c | 228.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…560dbacked Yes | 36c | 226.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…69cdbacked No | 65c | 225.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…642abacked No | 64c | 223.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…739abacked No | 65c | 222.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a85…98a3backed No | 64c | 222.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e2…2c78backed No | 65c | 222.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…98fbbacked No | 65c | 219.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…ab41backed No | 65c | 218.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…d2edbacked No | 65c | 218.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…4c51backed No | 65c | 218.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1553…3dffbacked No | 64c | 218.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…ff36backed No | 65c | 218.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…501bbacked No | 65c | 217.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…5546backed No | 80c | 217.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…ef02backed No | 65c | 216.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504c…6ecfbacked No | 65c | 216.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…d530backed No | 80c | 216.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…48bbbacked No | 65c | 216.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…e06dbacked No | 65c | 216.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…61b1backed No | 65c | 215.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…2eafbacked No | 64c | 215.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…8f3fbacked No | 80c | 214.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…2289backed No | 80c | 214.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…d703backed No | 65c | 214.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…1c21backed No | 80c | 213.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…7529backed No | 64c | 213.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…a693backed No | 80c | 213.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…65e3backed No | 80c | 212.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…a3bcbacked No | 80c | 212.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…923bbacked No | 80c | 212.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c8e8backed No | 80c | 212.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7562…e71fbacked No | 80c | 212.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c0…88e0backed No | 80c | 212.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…0617backed No | 64c | 210.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…ff59backed No | 65c | 209.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6652…7280backed No | 64c | 208.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…ef55backed No | 65c | 208.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…e69ebacked No | 65c | 207.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…2acdbacked No | 65c | 207.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…9672backed No | 65c | 206.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…cd58backed No | 65c | 206.71$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…d94dbacked No | 65c | 206.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…969cbacked No | 65c | 205.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…fb69backed No | 65c | 204.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…2d16backed No | 64c | 204.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3815…0a80backed No | 64c | 201.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…3eb5backed No | 64c | 200.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…14eabacked No | 64c | 197.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…8e3bbacked Yes | 16c | 66.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked No | 63c | 57.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…1f4ebacked No | 79c | 39.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Declan Rice record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Konrad Laimer record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Robert Andrich record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.