Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chattanooga vs. UNC Greensboro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2b0bf8f25bcaf01e1692b03c6c526a1f958e0ae14e882642f6854e61c7d750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chattanoogaof Chattanooga, UNC Greensboro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UNC Greensboro | 33c | 884$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…4727backed Chattanooga | 71c | 177$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…7467backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 143.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a60…e0cebacked Chattanooga | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…51f6backed Chattanooga | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd56…7835backed Chattanooga | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…56e8backed Chattanooga | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…ecabbacked Chattanooga | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…5e9abacked UNC Greensboro | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…6312backed Chattanooga | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa171…e34cbacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…616bbacked Chattanooga | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…0719backed Chattanooga | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…338cbacked Chattanooga | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…0e03backed Chattanooga | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…96e9backed Chattanooga | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…5a7bbacked Chattanooga | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…3115backed Chattanooga | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…e4eebacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…2618backed Chattanooga | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…717fbacked Chattanooga | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6d…f1d0backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…0d34backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef4…a7c9backed Chattanooga | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…13d4backed Chattanooga | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…60d9backed Chattanooga | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…84dabacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…90a1backed Chattanooga | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…e55ebacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…0d0bbacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16e…f921backed Chattanooga | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…aeb1backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…e636backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…f9afbacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…75c6backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…1960backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…4499backed Chattanooga | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…1c32backed Chattanooga | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…12c5backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…7507backed Chattanooga | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…8b45backed Chattanooga | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…2514backed Chattanooga | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…88d5backed Chattanooga | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6b…b959backed Chattanooga | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5897…782bbacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c8…40cfbacked Chattanooga | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…434fbacked Chattanooga | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…2b46backed Chattanooga | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.