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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NAVI Juniorof Prestige, NAVI Junior
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aae…0da3backed Prestige67c304.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8814255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed NAVI Junior80c284$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.938844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Prestige27c199.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.064,13250.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L+72.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed NAVI Junior51c198.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0419245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f98…96babacked Prestige38c133.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Prestige19c113.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.484,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Prestige25c101.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Prestige49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ad…e057backed NAVI Junior24c87.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.53714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed NAVI Junior24c81.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.591833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior71c80.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.035,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Prestige49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22,70747.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked NAVI Junior46c60.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.879445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e0…095dbacked NAVI Junior63c45.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.931457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked NAVI Junior46c29.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1789248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed NAVI Junior79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.