NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Latvia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6d06b794b40731abf8c06ff26e3205c4970650279812628e64c37622d37f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Switzerland, Latvia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Latvia | 14c | 378.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…f3adbacked Latvia | 16c | 292.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Latvia | 16c | 284.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Latvia | 13c | 213.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Latvia | 25c | 208.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Latvia | 6c | 202.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Latvia | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Latvia | 22c | 174.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Latvia | 14c | 139.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…13bdbacked Latvia | 14c | 99.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…6b5cbacked Latvia | 16c | 88.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…a5f0backed Latvia | 15c | 75.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Switzerland | 80c | 53.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…a7dfbacked Switzerland | 77c | 21.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Switzerland | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.