Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7f2188d9dd42e39f3ea229d641b9e3ef5485f741d5391fb7fca4fef5104ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rex Regum Qeonof FULL SENSE, Rex Regum Qeon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa4…5dc8backed Rex Regum Qeon | 69c | 1,302$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Rex Regum Qeon | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FULL SENSE | 31c | 715$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked FULL SENSE | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed FULL SENSE | 31c | 368.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FULL SENSE | 30c | 357.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed FULL SENSE | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FULL SENSE | 30c | 229.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FULL SENSE | 30c | 226.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Rex Regum Qeon | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…2a58backed Rex Regum Qeon | 69c | 129.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FULL SENSE | 30c | 110.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed FULL SENSE | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FULL SENSE | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Rex Regum Qeon | 70c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaRex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 WinnerFULL SENSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.