CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alpha Gaming vs CHAOS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9e7e7e754ece69d69ef78ca6bb95d775d4eb5235f510026855179fdc448897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alpha Gamingof Alpha Gaming, CHAOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Alpha Gaming | 75c | 3,300$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.55 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed CHAOS | 25c | 1,711$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.56 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed CHAOS | 20c | 1,710$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.55 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked CHAOS | 25c | 1,321$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.47 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…e190backed CHAOS | 23c | 1,030$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked CHAOS | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked CHAOS | 10c | 827$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed CHAOS | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed CHAOS | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed CHAOS | 10c | 217.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed CHAOS | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked CHAOS | 23c | 189.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CHAOS | 30c | 188.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked CHAOS | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…d8edbacked CHAOS | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked CHAOS | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Alpha Gaming | 72c | 47.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Gaming vs CHAOS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Gaming vs CHAOS (BO3) - United21 Group CAlpha Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Gaming vs CHAOS - Map 1 WinnerAlpha Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.