Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5caf720b3240ec0b564a73248533f47f1b0319602d1a09c7986a08e9db5da39e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry | 36c | 1,241$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Etcheverry | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bublik | 66c | 924.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bublik | 66c | 585.91$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Bublik | 62c | 321.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bublik | 66c | 294.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bublik | 60c | 283.28$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Etcheverry | 34c | 257.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Bublik | 59c | 253.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Etcheverry | 35c | 197.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Bublik | 61c | 192.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Etcheverry | 53c | 189.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Bublik | 63c | 173.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…7908backed Bublik | 71c | 141.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Etcheverry | 53c | 131.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bublik | 59c | 68.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Bublik | 63c | 63.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…4103backed Etcheverry | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…c9a6backed Etcheverry | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Bublik | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Etcheverry | 36c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e5…fe3bbacked Bublik | 70c | 30.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Etcheverry | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Bublik | 64c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Bublik | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Etcheverrythis page
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas EtcheverryBublik won
- Bublik vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Bublik vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Bublik vs. Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)Bublik won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-2.5) vs Etcheverry (+2.5)Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.