Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cb586d3444c0c7bf92f98f1c63461dda01818cf4fbde4fa7f8fb5c252bec72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof Idaho Vandals, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 49c | 9,190$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 3,314$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.15 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 3,108$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Idaho Vandals | 53c | 2,715$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.81 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals | 4c | 2,072$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 361.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Idaho Vandals | 71c | 29.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…0ababacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.