Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tyra Caterina Grant
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d375b3141719586cc046426f6b7becb79be87135453559da31afe44a0bc31df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Lazaro Garciaof Andrea Lazaro Garcia, Tyra Caterina Grant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 16c | 1,684$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 41c | 676.12$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 59c | 488.54$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 16c | 330.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 59c | 109.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 74c | 94.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 60c | 54.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d52…9fd8backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 78c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…0422backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 62c | 16.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.