Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Burton Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d77659b5416b1431a1737a75626baffe2cb2a42f50111e134787146b797c7a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burton Albion FCof Burton Albion FC, Brackley Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…8392backed Brackley Town FC | 74c | 190$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Brackley Town FC | 74c | 126$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Brackley Town FC | 73c | 102$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Burton Albion FC | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Burton Albion FC | 26c | 71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Burton Albion FC | 26c | 69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Brackley Town FC | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Burton Albion FC | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Brackley Town FC | 74c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Burton Albion FC | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Burton Albion FC | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Brackley Town FC | 74c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Brackley Town FC | 74c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Brackley Town FC | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Brackley Town FC | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Brackley Town FC | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Brackley Town FC | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Burton Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.