CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7b42c703c96929c6d09929075e7b962ac6b8e416d69abf39e6f7696f75e617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Abyssal, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Abyssal | 50c | 3,505$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.28 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Abyssal | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.2 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Rooster | 50c | 1,031$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.56 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Rooster | 50c | 552.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Rooster | 50c | 539.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked Rooster | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Abyssal | 51c | 417.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Abyssal | 48c | 382.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Rooster | 50c | 353.06$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.78 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rooster | 73c | 328.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Abyssal | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Rooster | 50c | 291$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Rooster | 50c | 267.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Rooster | 50c | 266.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Rooster | 79c | 250.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Rooster | 50c | 250.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Rooster | 49c | 245.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Rooster | 50c | 200.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Rooster | 49c | 199.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rooster | 62c | 185.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Rooster | 56c | 174.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 68c | 166.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Abyssal | 49c | 147.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Rooster | 50c | 144.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Abyssal | 24c | 129.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Rooster | 50c | 126.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Rooster | 49c | 122.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…8561backed Rooster | 50c | 120.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rooster | 70c | 110.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Rooster | 50c | 102.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Rooster | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Rooster | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Abyssal | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Abyssal | 28c | 88.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb12…f8f5backed Rooster | 50c | 87.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…0751backed Abyssal | 26c | 82.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Abyssal | 29c | 79.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Abyssal | 35c | 74.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Rooster | 47c | 72.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…6851backed Abyssal | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Rooster | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…2502backed Rooster | 50c | 51.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Abyssal | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Abyssal | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Abyssal | 51c | 46.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Abyssal | 49c | 45.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Rooster | 58c | 41.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Rooster | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rooster | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Abyssal | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked Rooster | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Abyssal | 52c | 34.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Rooster | 48c | 28.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rooster | 64c | 27.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rooster | 65c | 27.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rooster | 58c | 19.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Rooster | 68c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 WinnerRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 2 WinnerRooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.