Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte vs. Florida Atlantic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d93befa450b932d9b4b9fa1e5e4c6c4b4169834a15294671cfd5b95e7ca16d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlanticof Charlotte, Florida Atlantic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fc5…8f97backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…d043backed Charlotte | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…1ab8backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…81c9backed Charlotte | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…7fffbacked Florida Atlantic | 38c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Charlotte | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…78f7backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…f7f4backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…ab66backed Charlotte | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…d8f0backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…5497backed Charlotte | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…c8b0backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…b50abacked Charlotte | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…b8a5backed Charlotte | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…8ddabacked Charlotte | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…3ffdbacked Charlotte | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…6b2cbacked Florida Atlantic | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…ba9fbacked Florida Atlantic | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…21d1backed Charlotte | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ce…81babacked Florida Atlantic | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…826fbacked Florida Atlantic | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…b7a1backed Florida Atlantic | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…b410backed Charlotte | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…d33cbacked Charlotte | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…369bbacked Charlotte | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…9599backed Florida Atlantic | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…8a0dbacked Florida Atlantic | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…0a38backed Charlotte | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…6a22backed Florida Atlantic | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…cd74backed Florida Atlantic | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.