Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State Demons vs. New Orleans Privateers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e172ac99c80780ae51a53f97f3e071e03ebbf0cd6160f7af5b19702acb5dc47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Orleans Privateersof Northwestern State Demons, New Orleans Privateers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8126…9d18backed New Orleans Privateers | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern State Demons | 16c | 328.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Orleans Privateers | 63c | 184.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern State Demons | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed New Orleans Privateers | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Orleans Privateers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked New Orleans Privateers | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed New Orleans Privateers | 64c | 16.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern State Demons vs. New Orleans Privateersthis page
- Northwestern State Demons vs. New Orleans Privateers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Northwestern State Demons vs. New Orleans Privateers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: New Orleans Privateers (-3.5)New Orleans Privateers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.