Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra vs. Stony Brook
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5a996c4efe5e13588bd86d5f4e5e8432f81b0084693045f05eebd492c8cd4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stony Brookof Hofstra, Stony Brook
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Stony Brook | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hofstra | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hofstra | 41c | 728$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hofstra | 71c | 725.1$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.82 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…d758backed Stony Brook | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…04f2backed Stony Brook | 30c | 155$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…5ff0backed Hofstra | 50c | 147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…eed9backed Stony Brook | 30c | 127$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…253dbacked Hofstra | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hofstra | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…067dbacked Hofstra | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…3c44backed Hofstra | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…7d16backed Hofstra | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8567backed Hofstra | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…679cbacked Stony Brook | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…d21fbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee08…8657backed Stony Brook | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…bd71backed Stony Brook | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…e273backed Stony Brook | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…425fbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…a46fbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c8…e12cbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…fa2ebacked Hofstra | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9988…c469backed Stony Brook | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…1b2dbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…d355backed Hofstra | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c86…a676backed Stony Brook | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…c30ebacked Stony Brook | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…fb3fbacked Hofstra | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…c397backed Hofstra | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…a813backed Stony Brook | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…53d7backed Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…da35backed Stony Brook | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…d2edbacked Stony Brook | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…434fbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…5459backed Stony Brook | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.