Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNC Greensboro vs. East Tennessee State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9df8dd44aa3a2290c79dbe23f0c585ac5d196d013f74e2d482ebcb2c1b968a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Tennessee Stateof UNC Greensboro, East Tennessee State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06d9…8d8bbacked East Tennessee State | 57c | 315$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed UNC Greensboro | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked East Tennessee State | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…396fbacked UNC Greensboro | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…06cdbacked UNC Greensboro | 43c | 124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…2067backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1611…f542backed East Tennessee State | 57c | 112$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…68f0backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…6c28backed East Tennessee State | 57c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…7b05backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…d3eabacked East Tennessee State | 57c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…efa1backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…f936backed East Tennessee State | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…9b20backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…5754backed East Tennessee State | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…b9a1backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb677…6db4backed East Tennessee State | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…54c5backed East Tennessee State | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked UNC Greensboro | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed East Tennessee State | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…84f6backed East Tennessee State | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…aeb4backed UNC Greensboro | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…044cbacked UNC Greensboro | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…a0d2backed East Tennessee State | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.