Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) vs. Stonehill
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb4f5034bb533fd8288f3b63f22f3931b63cf29dbd031ce52d18ab46d2db820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stonehillof St. Francis (PA), Stonehill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked St. Francis (PA) | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…183ebacked St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…fdb9backed Stonehill | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…0ac0backed Stonehill | 61c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292f…e0e1backed St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd657…791bbacked St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…b468backed Stonehill | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…41e2backed Stonehill | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…2253backed Stonehill | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…1fe4backed St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…6b2abacked St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…ce51backed St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…8ba9backed Stonehill | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…1f96backed Stonehill | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…5d95backed Stonehill | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…5353backed Stonehill | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.