CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - DraculaN Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f036707859cf4f51b394b74ca45ea913b3ef93c09781363ecbe38d2044699ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof Nexus, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Nexus | 0c | 30,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Nexus | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 1,102$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.97 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nexus | 36c | 734.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nexus | 28c | 508.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 441.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 382.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Nexus | 52c | 289.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nexus | 43c | 207.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Nexus | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nexus | 58c | 165.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 164.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 155.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 137.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 69c | 109$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 100.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nexus | 41c | 93.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Nexus | 48c | 87.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Nexus | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 54.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Nexus | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nexus | 40c | 49.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nexus | 43c | 48.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 69c | 47.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Nexus | 33c | 44.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 44.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Nexus | 62c | 42.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…e878backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Nexus | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nexus | 39c | 39.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nexus | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 37.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 33.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nexus | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…b9b0backed Nexus | 34c | 30.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Nexus | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 25.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 24.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Nexus | 54c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed BASEMENT BOYS | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.