Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606c8a718031f21ceae03a4830d04a46c1b22ee2148cf2d5b53b8fd5ccbc357d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 13,496$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.04 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 14c | 7,142$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 16c | 3,048$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 2,802$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.33 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,769$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…010cbacked Yes | 2c | 880.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 1c | 797.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c2…3b40backed Yes | 3c | 676.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 545.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 520$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…daf1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 13c | 434.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 417.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 13c | 219.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 151.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 137.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 14c | 137.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 13c | 112.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 30cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.