Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UCF Knights (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608148fb2df7a9ec2f48b3576f55ffe71c8867bebb72d34db65dd05d88502eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof UCF Knights, Florida Atlantic Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 7,504$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.98 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCF Knights | 46c | 3,787$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 47c | 2,245$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed UCF Knights | 47c | 1,246$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.4 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 567.44$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights | 49c | 489.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 465.21$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed UCF Knights | 47c | 278.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed UCF Knights | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 126$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UCF Knights | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked UCF Knights | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 83.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed UCF Knights | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed UCF Knights | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked UCF Knights | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked UCF Knights | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed UCF Knights | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked UCF Knights | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed UCF Knights | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UCF Knights (-8.5)this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF KnightsUCF Knights won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knights: O/U 158.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knights: O/U 159.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knights: O/U 160.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knights: O/U 161.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knights: O/U 162.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knights: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-7.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.