CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615deb27c823861e6ffe89c454bad3b6b9fdc1cffd9979dd8d0e47ee8baca88f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 8,051$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 6,400$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.36 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 5,068$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.8 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 428$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 345.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 309.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 264.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 263.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 209$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 27c | 174.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 166.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 73.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 50.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 31.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 28.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 28.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…18dabacked MOUZ NXT | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 PlayoffsMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.