Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota vs. North Dakota State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616d35ef4ba229d6df793970b3328b3221b2b71c232d6228d85933b123defb61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Stateof South Dakota, North Dakota State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa365…789fbacked South Dakota | 20c | 298$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…392ebacked North Dakota State | 79c | 277$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed South Dakota | 21c | 188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…839dbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 182$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…718cbacked South Dakota | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…855ebacked South Dakota | 21c | 162$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…5fcfbacked South Dakota | 21c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…6464backed North Dakota State | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…7a60backed South Dakota | 21c | 118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…71ddbacked South Dakota | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8abacked North Dakota State | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…fc1fbacked North Dakota State | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…4b8bbacked North Dakota State | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…e0d5backed South Dakota | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…83a4backed South Dakota | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…5c73backed South Dakota | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…01cfbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6107backed North Dakota State | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…0080backed South Dakota | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…d355backed South Dakota | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…b7cebacked South Dakota | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…46b7backed South Dakota | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…9a65backed North Dakota State | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed North Dakota State | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b61…33e2backed North Dakota State | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…7197backed North Dakota State | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf905…b5b8backed North Dakota State | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…dd45backed North Dakota State | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed North Dakota State | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…6674backed North Dakota State | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ee…206fbacked North Dakota State | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…b0acbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…33efbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…0e75backed North Dakota State | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…c477backed North Dakota State | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…28cdbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…fd18backed North Dakota State | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…fb87backed North Dakota State | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…cda0backed North Dakota State | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…66cabacked North Dakota State | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…8adcbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…1027backed North Dakota State | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…4cfcbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…8562backed North Dakota State | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…4a1fbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…cd7abacked North Dakota State | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…b961backed North Dakota State | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…9580backed North Dakota State | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897f…421bbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…5e22backed North Dakota State | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…05dcbacked North Dakota State | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…1436backed North Dakota State | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…66ddbacked North Dakota State | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…9908backed North Dakota State | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…8817backed North Dakota State | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…91e3backed North Dakota State | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…9219backed North Dakota State | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…6cb3backed North Dakota State | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.