Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6174754646d579c543da31b0a29daacc3421bb617700ccd245ee2c7f370b8c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Nemiga Gaming, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 2,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.6 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 1,630$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.4 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 66c | 1,235$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 66c | 702.84$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 692$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 662.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Lynx | 66c | 517$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 69c | 473.66$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 439.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 381.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Team Lynx | 65c | 375.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 294.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 261.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 244.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Team Lynx | 63c | 190.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 139.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 126.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 99.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Team Lynx | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 75c | 74.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 73.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Team Lynx | 60c | 70.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Team Lynx | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 68.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 71c | 66.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 63.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 56.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Lynx | 70c | 51.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 43.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Team Lynx | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 37.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 31.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Team Lynx | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 29.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Lynx | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.