TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Deep Cross Gamingof Deep Cross Gaming, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,749 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44fc…7961backed Ground Zero Gaming53c7,100$3,763 inLost-$3,762.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Deep Cross Gaming47c7,069$3,322 inWon+$3,746.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Deep Cross Gaming50c718.07$359 inWon+$359.0413136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Ground Zero Gaming55c699.99$385 inLost-$384.9910541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Ground Zero Gaming50c400$200 inLost-$20016347.2%77 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Deep Cross Gaming45c350$158 inWon+$192.528843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Deep Cross Gaming45c224.03$101 inWon+$123.2244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57be…5bb4backed Ground Zero Gaming50c200$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8c…ee73backed Ground Zero Gaming50c200$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Deep Cross Gaming45c100$45 inWon+$553759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Deep Cross Gaming47c99.99$47 inWon+$5316251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Deep Cross Gaming50c81.93$41 inWon+$40.971,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c30…d531backed Ground Zero Gaming57c77.19$44 inLost-$4413951.8%72 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Deep Cross Gaming43c77.19$33 inWon+$441,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…dbbabacked Ground Zero Gaming53c69.09$37 inLost-$36.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Ground Zero Gaming52c57.62$30 inLost-$29.9621747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Deep Cross Gaming48c31.25$15 inWon+$16.2512834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.