Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgetown vs. Butler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6258af9bdbee94ad55c72fb5daf931c8de7890b6405616e55b23f6eae56a70a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butlerof Georgetown, Butler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac8e…6ec7backed Georgetown | 40c | 3,260$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Butler | 60c | 2,872$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.97 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Butler | 76c | 2,233$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.33 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Butler | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…8613backed Butler | 50c | 257$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…6525backed Butler | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce3…52eabacked Georgetown | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0f27backed Georgetown | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…b4f2backed Georgetown | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…d20cbacked Georgetown | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…bb63backed Georgetown | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6d5cbacked Georgetown | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef8…6d2ebacked Butler | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b9…ba31backed Georgetown | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…97c3backed Georgetown | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Georgetown | 38c | 36.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…ff24backed Butler | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…5a0fbacked Georgetown | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfb…339dbacked Georgetown | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Butler | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…27f0backed Butler | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…5424backed Georgetown | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…561ebacked Georgetown | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…9de3backed Butler | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…5e2fbacked Butler | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Butler | 59c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.