Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63823ebcb806f6109294e4a0416095b6a0e0c722843b6bf5a335d9b7b4fb7a7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,280$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 15c | 1,001$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 603.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 61c | 373.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 39c | 269.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 16c | 155.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 64.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2217backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 45.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 39c | 31.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will FC København vs. Randers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.