Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Titans (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ae6e5149582799cfb2f6e7f4990f9ab9b0e547031d3b36a898efb389819a3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Detroit Titans, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 54c | 4,746$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Detroit Titans | 46c | 1,704$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.16 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 54c | 915.21$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Titans | 46c | 652.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 340.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Detroit Titans | 47c | 143.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Detroit Titans | 45c | 130.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-2.5)this page
- Detroit Titans vs. Niagara Purple EaglesDetroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.