Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63fc0e1b59697fc285a4bc2f6e07800e170c3c2cbb2dca809f4956f0b4d316fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,286 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 4,030$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.26 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,138$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 1,486$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.09 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 344.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Over | 54c | 275.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 46c | 214.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2c56backed Under | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 48c | 65.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 53c | 62.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Over | 55c | 34.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 46c | 28.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 133.5this page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac BobcatsMarist Red Foxes won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 130.5Over won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 131.5Over won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 132.5Over won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-1.5)Marist Red Foxes won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-2.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.