Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64a17517710a030b99214b218938d515d2969a5eaf22cdeba38cef6e828a5ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CTBC Flying Oysterof Deep Cross Gaming, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 71c | 2,460$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.34 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 29c | 2,315$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.29 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 28c | 855.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Deep Cross Gaming | 28c | 355.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Deep Cross Gaming | 27c | 346.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 79c | 281.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Deep Cross Gaming | 28c | 166.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 26c | 105.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Deep Cross Gaming | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 74c | 65.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Deep Cross Gaming | 25c | 50.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 73c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.