CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Strael-Bora (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65268a0eb75f01fc71ffd96c646202ead14fba6d23a115b90bcadcfd66f611d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Strael-Bora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Strael-Bora | 35c | 3,360$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.08 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…98b9backed Misa Esports | 64c | 3,300$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Strael-Bora | 5c | 2,700$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Strael-Bora | 36c | 1,076$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 1,024$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.12 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 333.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Strael-Bora | 19c | 152$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed Misa Esports | 63c | 124.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Strael-Bora | 37c | 120.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Strael-Bora | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Strael-Bora | 37c | 76.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed Strael-Bora | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Strael-Bora | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked Strael-Bora | 38c | 43.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Strael-Bora | 36c | 41.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Strael-Bora | 35c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.