TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Philadelphia: Mia Pohankova vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mia Pohankovaof Mia Pohankova, Mell Elizabeth Reasco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco3c2,416$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.629,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco12c2,214$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.741535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2099148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe339…e01bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco8c1,217$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco18c527.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco11c425.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco10c423.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.798,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco13c377.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0648630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ef6…c784backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco14c265.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1117843.3%77 W · 101 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…4d59backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco14c251.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco12c215.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.234030%12 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4011…4a39backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco8c212.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711039.1%43 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco14c115$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1665437.5%245 W · 409 L-33.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Mia Pohankova78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41,28965.2%841 W · 448 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.