CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656b6f52393f290ed70530f0b5692ab2133afa94d6c5defd8ca8a8e195fa316a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Guara Esports | 10c | 3,140$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…5258backed Guara Esports | 12c | 1,328$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Guara Esports | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Guara Esports | 11c | 1,169$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Guara Esports | 11c | 849.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…ecc1backed Guara Esports | 10c | 840$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…6871backed Guara Esports | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Guara Esports | 10c | 820.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Guara Esports | 9c | 616.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Guara Esports | 12c | 614.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Guara Esports | 10c | 601.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Guara Esports | 11c | 454.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Guara Esports | 9c | 419.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Guara Esports | 10c | 369.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Guara Esports | 8c | 364.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Guara Esports | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guara Esports | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Guara Esports | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Guara Esports | 11c | 274$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Guara Esports | 10c | 272$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Guara Esports | 11c | 269.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Guara Esports | 9c | 217.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Guara Esports | 10c | 199.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed Guara Esports | 10c | 177.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Guara Esports | 9c | 176.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guara Esports | 10c | 150.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…df6fbacked Guara Esports | 10c | 149$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…211bbacked Guara Esports | 11c | 140.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Guara Esports | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Guara Esports | 10c | 120.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Guara Esports | 12c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)UNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.