CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658f1891f887d90a19677f9912f62a11ec6c7034f94611d99c23f8f302953cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof CSDIILIT, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 404.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed CSDIILIT | 43c | 386.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 861 | 58.1%500 W · 361 L | +59.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MASONIC | 56c | 359.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed CSDIILIT | 19c | 308.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 267.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MASONIC | 56c | 266.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CSDIILIT | 42c | 256.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed CSDIILIT | 17c | 255.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed MASONIC | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 459 | 44.2%203 W · 256 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed MASONIC | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 63c | 216.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed CSDIILIT | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 192.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CSDIILIT | 43c | 180.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed MASONIC | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MASONIC | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed MASONIC | 60c | 158.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed MASONIC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 110.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked MASONIC | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 78c | 78.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked MASONIC | 72c | 59.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed MASONIC | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 51.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked MASONIC | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MASONIC | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed MASONIC | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed CSDIILIT | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked MASONIC | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed MASONIC | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed MASONIC | 52c | 29.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MASONIC | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MASONIC | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 492 | 43.5%214 W · 278 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed MASONIC | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked MASONIC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.