Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Viola Turini vs Celia Cervino Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a4b650fe4c2317fc53b4c80c5ce668426fee75e76f7c13fe8eec62f0b09ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celia Cervino Ruizof Viola Turini, Celia Cervino Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Viola Turini | 65c | 1,265$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 35c | 1,232$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.58 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 36c | 331.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Viola Turini | 64c | 175.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 36c | 146.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Viola Turini | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Viola Turini | 25c | 119.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Viola Turini | 17c | 82.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Viola Turini | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe007…af27backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 66c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Viola Turini | 64c | 33.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Viola Turini | 62c | 30.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 65c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.