Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook vs. Hampton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ae38ef2715beb261d1c6401cd8abe481482689d6c48f493d7bb53a003c6e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hamptonof Stony Brook, Hampton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa166…ea28backed Hampton | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Stony Brook | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…af99backed Stony Brook | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…6720backed Hampton | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…23d3backed Stony Brook | 49c | 146$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…93c3backed Hampton | 51c | 142$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…eb81backed Hampton | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Hampton | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Stony Brook | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…b66bbacked Stony Brook | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…9ac8backed Hampton | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…6de4backed Stony Brook | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…c800backed Stony Brook | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…ea41backed Hampton | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…1b73backed Hampton | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Hampton | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…05e1backed Hampton | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…59c2backed Hampton | 51c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…ea83backed Stony Brook | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…66ccbacked Hampton | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…872fbacked Stony Brook | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…ad82backed Stony Brook | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13e…dd1dbacked Stony Brook | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…4c37backed Hampton | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…4ef6backed Stony Brook | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…10b7backed Stony Brook | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…da64backed Stony Brook | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…7750backed Stony Brook | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…ccd4backed Hampton | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…55dfbacked Stony Brook | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…bf16backed Stony Brook | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…5a97backed Hampton | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…3c34backed Stony Brook | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…faa9backed Hampton | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…957ebacked Stony Brook | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…ea13backed Hampton | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…5fa5backed Hampton | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…4ff3backed Hampton | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…a211backed Stony Brook | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…99e2backed Hampton | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…dbdfbacked Stony Brook | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…af4ebacked Hampton | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…64f5backed Stony Brook | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…ff8abacked Hampton | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…6ed5backed Hampton | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc28…7873backed Stony Brook | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436c…b1adbacked Hampton | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…1d11backed Stony Brook | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…0f44backed Stony Brook | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…46dfbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…25d7backed Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd370…bcdebacked Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…ff8bbacked Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…75bcbacked Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…61afbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…fb75backed Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…ebe8backed Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…8288backed Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3528…fc13backed Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…e2c0backed Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…9a6abacked Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…f5c6backed Stony Brook | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…24bfbacked Hampton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…b8c4backed Stony Brook | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…62e1backed Hampton | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6e…30debacked Stony Brook | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…5361backed Stony Brook | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…5b12backed Hampton | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe177…66fabacked Hampton | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…1428backed Hampton | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…07b1backed Hampton | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.