Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c3c96ed748bd1ca02b2e48f540c8615b2ca2cb76ac08bc0b2571c3fb74fe88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 3,112$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.15 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Team Heretics | 61c | 1,563$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 61c | 778.15$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.9 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Team Heretics | 63c | 543.22$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.23 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Heretics | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Liquid | 37c | 215.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Heretics | 63c | 154.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid | 39c | 76.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Team Liquid | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Team Heretics | 63c | 31.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Heretics | 66c | 30.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Heretics | 60c | 30.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Team Liquid | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Heretics | 62c | 26.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed Team Heretics | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 16.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.