Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ghosts vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c9684e52dadc25da7dc80da52b6e86a595d382c60866c3571fb7bd518702b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galatasaray Esportsof ghosts, Galatasaray Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed ghosts | 11c | 340.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ghosts | 17c | 297.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ghosts | 17c | 259.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked ghosts | 12c | 176$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ghosts | 10c | 169$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…8bb4backed ghosts | 17c | 160.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked ghosts | 15c | 149.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ghosts | 19c | 119.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ghosts | 13c | 87.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galatasaray Esports | 79c | 64.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Galatasaray Esports | 75c | 58.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Galatasaray Esports | 79c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Galatasaray Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Galatasaray Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ghosts vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Bthis page
- Valorant: ghosts vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 1 WinnerGalatasaray Esports won
- Valorant: ghosts vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 WinnerGalatasaray Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.