CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e243648914bc06b977c635f63cf1ff81912d4f9b49d97bcb8418587766fb49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Young Bloodof Aurora Young Blood, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Young Blood | 45c | 3,900$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.41 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked G2 Ares | 55c | 2,723$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.49 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed G2 Ares | 58c | 868.95$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.24 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Young Blood | 45c | 634.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 46c | 631.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed G2 Ares | 55c | 540$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Aurora Young Blood | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 311$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed G2 Ares | 54c | 295.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed G2 Ares | 55c | 273.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 273.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed G2 Ares | 59c | 225.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Aurora Young Blood | 46c | 218.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed G2 Ares | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed G2 Ares | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed G2 Ares | 57c | 144.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed G2 Ares | 56c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Aurora Young Blood | 44c | 84.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Aurora Young Blood | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed G2 Ares | 59c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Aurora Young Blood | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 47.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked G2 Ares | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed G2 Ares | 52c | 35.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.