Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6704bc8ff483d8a7f8b154166e6b657704ec6416264d38a0082e78894b03d161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Southern Illinois Salukis, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 5,436$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 5,096$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.88 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 2,396$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.92 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bradley Braves | 48c | 1,338$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 783.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…9511backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bradley Braves | 49c | 396.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Bradley Braves | 49c | 381.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.63 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bradley Braves | 48c | 297.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 8c | 270.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Bradley Braves | 66c | 138.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 48c | 137.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 64.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 53.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bradley Braves | 49c | 22.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-2.5)this page
- Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois SalukisBradley Braves won
- Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 144.5Under won
- Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)Bradley Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.