La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67089100bc9207929f097d0e0937209445513c15220ed0d6f5ab4c731f2c2c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 71c | 800$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…6167backed Yes | 29c | 772.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 683.47$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.92 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 29c | 625.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 602.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 324.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 309.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 235.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 37c | 210.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 26c | 148.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…8216backed Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 116.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 102.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…69ddbacked Yes | 23c | 67.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 57.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 39c | 56.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 55.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 48.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 33c | 34.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 34c | 33.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…0d41backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317a…d6f5backed No | 62c | 21.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed No | 73c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Elche CF leading at halftime?No won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.