CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wingman vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x673d4f0815b733c552427352d357796c43ab4efe9ca2a503791a15092a64dcca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Wingman, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 1,849$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.73 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Wingman | 39c | 726.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 718.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Wingman | 29c | 432.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 338.17$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Wingman | 30c | 322.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Wingman | 33c | 318.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Wingman | 34c | 297.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 291.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Wingman | 40c | 287.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…cd39backed Wingman | 40c | 228$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Wingman | 35c | 166.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Wingman | 15c | 139.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a32cbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Wingman | 24c | 120.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 110.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 110.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 99.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Wingman | 29c | 98.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Wingman | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Wingman | 34c | 74.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Wingman | 54c | 70.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…bf04backed Wingman | 30c | 65.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Wingman | 29c | 60.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Wingman | 36c | 44.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe93d…6ad9backed Wingman | 52c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wingman vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wingman vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerWingman won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.