Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674c6cf50c97ef1796ab7e0e72b24d7480af265322eae351e7fc8dd315d2f2eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed T1 | 66c | 1,498$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.31 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed ZETA DIVISION | 34c | 956.42$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ZETA DIVISION | 35c | 887.97$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked T1 | 65c | 338$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…2245backed T1 | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ZETA DIVISION | 25c | 299.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked ZETA DIVISION | 34c | 264.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked T1 | 75c | 178.58$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed T1 | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed T1 | 73c | 134.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed ZETA DIVISION | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed ZETA DIVISION | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed T1 | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…ccadbacked T1 | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03e…1091backed T1 | 64c | 18.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.