Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x687962ee6149f97122abf183f5a2480e55985fef2663d06a9f62ca7c42b3017c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…9885backed Yes | 51c | 1,245$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 592$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 592$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 41c | 74.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Yes | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…3fcdbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…862abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 41c | 49.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 62c | 36.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 33.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Draw at halftime?this page
- OGC Nice leading at halftime?No won
- Racing Club de Lens leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.