CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x687b2a8ea74c23ec3dc48042dbd851733d3f658eb6a08de0fdb9dfb5d0b5dff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of VP.Prodigy, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,273 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 3,149$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.67 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed K27 | 76c | 1,242$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed K27 | 69c | 972.24$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.24 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed K27 | 75c | 946.11$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 938.54$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 73c | 556.19$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 537.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…73dabacked K27 | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 430$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed K27 | 76c | 426$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 306.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked K27 | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 255.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed K27 | 60c | 241.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 241.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked K27 | 80c | 222.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed K27 | 58c | 155.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked K27 | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…2b43backed K27 | 65c | 122.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed K27 | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 112.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked K27 | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed K27 | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed K27 | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 81.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed K27 | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed K27 | 77c | 74.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed K27 | 76c | 73.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked K27 | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked K27 | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed K27 | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…1f0abacked K27 | 79c | 43.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked K27 | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 35.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 34.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed K27 | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…a2b4backed K27 | 72c | 26.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed K27 | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.