NHL · resolved market
SHL: Luleaa vs. Leksands IF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6896e1a14d0c01ea00c6f8d249bd8e31f09e8823cdad1965e2dca29c9c4284bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Luleaa, Leksands IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52dd…a1cfbacked Leksands IF | 25c | 1,350$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…162abacked Leksands IF | 25c | 1,150$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…cd84backed Leksands IF | 26c | 1,108$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…e6c6backed Luleaa | 75c | 1,050$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed Leksands IF | 27c | 973$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…66aebacked Leksands IF | 25c | 960$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Leksands IF | 27c | 939$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed Luleaa | 73c | 819$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…afd9backed Leksands IF | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…982fbacked Luleaa | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked Luleaa | 75c | 690$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…45d8backed Luleaa | 75c | 520$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Luleaa | 73c | 516$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…3592backed Luleaa | 75c | 460$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed Luleaa | 73c | 452$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Luleaa | 73c | 438.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…4763backed Luleaa | 73c | 423$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Leksands IF | 23c | 393.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Luleaa | 75c | 328$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…2ec6backed Luleaa | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…9b8dbacked Luleaa | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed Luleaa | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed Luleaa | 73c | 154$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…a940backed Leksands IF | 26c | 52.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Luleaa | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.