Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68db25404b1abfb09efa96a643a700d9e6424ab7b7c7f247ad343cbf490018c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kovacevicof Medjedovic, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Kovacevic | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Kovacevic | 56c | 136$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Kovacevic | 56c | 131$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Kovacevic | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +8.8wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Kovacevic | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Medjedovic | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Medjedovic | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Medjedovic | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Medjedovic | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Medjedovic | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Medjedovic | 37c | 31.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Medjedovic | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Medjedovic | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Medjedovic | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Medjedovic | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kovacevic | 61c | 27.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Medjedovic | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Medjedovic | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Medjedovic | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Medjedovic | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)this page
- ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar KovacevicMedjedovic won
- Medjedovic vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Medjedovic vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Medjedovic vs. Kovacevic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs KovacevicMedjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.