South American Leagues · resolved market
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69428f8f9b7876e5baf5c7cc84e58eb251c2516eb515ca53528776511b84bd63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,760$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.6 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 69c | 1,633$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 46c | 1,363$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,184$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.22 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 31c | 758.23$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.5 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 69c | 509.13$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.43 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 38c | 442.55$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 282.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 31c | 138.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 30c | 83.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 62c | 76.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…febdbacked Under | 64c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 36.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Under | 42c | 34.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…a5a2backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Over | 72c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino: O/U 1.5this page
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.