Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Renata Zarazua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6956761561948cd22bc6a3db1bc79f78a711e4401a6a97f5d873079ecc1ad7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Zarazua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zarazua | 11c | 7,848$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zarazua | 15c | 2,575$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zarazua | 13c | 2,049$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.97 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…f8ebbacked Jovic | 75c | 1,012$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zarazua | 22c | 757.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zarazua | 6c | 648.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zarazua | 22c | 529.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Zarazua | 11c | 320.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jovic | 78c | 183.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Jovic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Zarazua | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zarazua | 26c | 97.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Jovic | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Jovic | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Jovic | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Jovic | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…223fbacked Jovic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Jovic | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Jovic | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Renata Zarazuathis page
- Jovic vs. Zarazua: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.