MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697dc8f575fff7e2be9d40e94eaff41ca0c47ca769aadd3e227500245128f813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Lotte Giants, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 66c | 263.15$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 257$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed LG Twins | 66c | 148.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 107.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LG Twins | 67c | 72.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed LG Twins | 66c | 69.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed LG Twins | 65c | 60.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed LG Twins | 62c | 40.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 40.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LG Twins | 77c | 35.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed LG Twins | 65c | 34.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked LG Twins | 77c | 33.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 30.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 30.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked LG Twins | 78c | 29.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked LG Twins | 66c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed LG Twins | 64c | 21.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed LG Twins | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.