Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f4c23d1a1c07c33257155ed847700a4887203f18132c80b55819bfc6e27877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stonehillof Mercyhurst, Stonehill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a82…6817backed Stonehill | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…948fbacked Mercyhurst | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…cebabacked Mercyhurst | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mercyhurst | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…6261backed Mercyhurst | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…8669backed Mercyhurst | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…3bc9backed Mercyhurst | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…8cbabacked Mercyhurst | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…8bc4backed Stonehill | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…b98dbacked Stonehill | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…e1c4backed Stonehill | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…dd02backed Stonehill | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…3894backed Stonehill | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…1872backed Stonehill | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…031cbacked Mercyhurst | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…bf5bbacked Stonehill | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Stonehill | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…2cb5backed Mercyhurst | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…bc4dbacked Mercyhurst | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…1571backed Stonehill | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…ae83backed Mercyhurst | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…d29dbacked Stonehill | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…3aeebacked Mercyhurst | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…8d99backed Stonehill | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…9cecbacked Mercyhurst | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…d4d1backed Stonehill | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.