Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1d798b7a57f9dfc12e5a49616c3a912b43b6b720cc5ba59c8ab0abdf771d7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 8,496$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.4 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 52c | 7,173$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,067$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 33c | 1,090$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 844.54$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 669.6$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Over | 31c | 637.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 51c | 585.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 455.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 164.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 52c | 97.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…5a49backed Over | 53c | 96.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 41c | 68.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 41c | 68.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 41c | 68.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 68.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 41c | 68.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 41c | 68.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 57.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 39c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…0da8backed Under | 59c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…a912backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 68c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.